For those inSierraMadre.com readers who are new to blogs, I just wanted to draw your attention to the comment under last night’s post. A reader has submitted his interpretation of why Measure V has most likely won even though the race is close and there are ballots left to be counted. In case you don’t see where to view the comment, here it is:
Posted by “zJosh:”
While the 180 ballots are key, too large a percentage (at least 77.8%) would need to be NO votes for those ballots to affect a change in the results. Looking through the various precincts and absentee results that seems highly unlikely*. While the gap may grow or shrink it looks as though Measure V has indeed passed.
*The results so far show an average shift of 9.6% with a standard deviation of 6.3%, therefore this is NOT a statistical dead heat. We’re talking about being around three standard deviations away from the 77.8% needed to change the results.
Also, here’s Molly Okeon’s article at the Pasadena Star-News.
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